If your appraisal letter this year said "0%" — or a number that barely beats inflation — you're far from alone. More than one in three Indian tech workers got no hike or a pay cut in the latest appraisal cycle (Blind). Most say it wasn't about their own performance.
The good news: a flat year doesn't have to mean a flat career. This guide explains what happened, what the 2027 pay market looks like, and exactly how to decide between negotiating where you are and switching — with scripts, numbers and a step-by-step plan.
Blind surveyed 2,178 India-based tech professionals between 15 and 26 October 2026 (Content Media Solution).
The split matters: within the same company, some people got nothing while others got big raises. That tells you where the money is going — and how to get some of it.
Asked what drove their result, workers pointed to:
| Reason | Share of respondents |
|---|---|
| Company's financial performance or cost-cutting | 41% |
| Their individual performance rating | 22% |
| AI and automation changing team priorities | 18% |
Source: Blind.
Why this matters for your next move. The right response depends on which reason applies to you:
Pay is being targeted, not spread evenly. Employers are differentiating more sharply between high-impact talent and average performers, and putting more weight on scarce digital and AI skills (People Matters). Top performers can earn up to 1.6 times more through targeted pay (EY). A flat year is often a sign that your current role isn't in the group being rewarded.
Overall, raises are steady. Aon's survey of more than 1,200 companies projects average raises of 9.1% in 2027, with NBFCs leading at 10.1% and tech services lagging at 6.6% (Business Standard). Real wage growth, after inflation, is estimated at 5.1% in 2027, up from 4.3% in 2026 (Business Standard).
Where you work in tech matters more than ever. Tech product companies plan raises of 9.5% for 2027, compared with 6.6% for tech services (CapitalVia). With retail inflation at 5.54% in September 2026, a 6.6% raise leaves little real growth (CapitalVia).
Skills drive the biggest premiums. AI, generative AI, machine learning, cybersecurity and cloud skills command premiums of 30–40% (People Matters). In an Indeed study, 26% of employers put AI premiums at 31% to 50% (360 Digital Transformation).
People are moving. Attrition is projected to rise to 18% (Business Standard), which means more openings — and more employers competing for skilled people.
| Level | Typical tech switch hike |
|---|---|
| Junior | 35–45% |
| Mid-level | 30–40% |
| Senior leaders | 20–30% |
Source: Michael Page salary guide, as reported via Pigment.
Other surveys are more conservative: the Michael Page India Salary Guide 2026 reported increments stabilising at 8–12%, with specialised experts securing up to 30% on a job change (360 Digital Transformation). And expectations run high: 70% of professionals in a foundit survey expect at least 21% when switching (Pigment). Realistically, plan for 20–35% on a like-for-like move, and more only with scarce skills or a bigger role.
A flat year is a signal, not a sentence. Use these questions to decide.
| Signal | Lean towards staying and negotiating | Lean towards switching |
|---|---|---|
| Reason for no hike | Company-wide freeze, expected to lift next cycle | Your rating, or your team losing priority |
| Your learning curve | You're still learning and building skills | You've plateaued for a year or more |
| Manager support | Your manager backs you and can commit to a plan | Vague answers, no written commitments |
| Your pay vs market | Within about 10–15% of market for your role | 20% or more below market |
| Big upcoming event | Promotion, vesting, retention bonus or a major project due soon | Nothing meaningful in the next 6–12 months |
| Sector and company type | Product company, GCC or a growing business | Tech services, with low budgets for your role |
| Personal situation | You need stability right now (a loan, a move, family needs) | You can handle a 2–3-month notice and job search |
The cost of staying put, in numbers. As an illustration, take someone earning ₹15 lakh:
That's a gap of about ₹5 lakh a year — and it compounds, because every future raise is calculated on a higher base. This is why one well-timed switch can matter more than several good appraisals.
But switching isn't automatically better. A bigger number at a shakier company, with longer hours or no learning, can cost more than it pays. Compare total compensation, stability, learning and growth — not just the hike percentage.
When there's no budget, a straight "please revise my hike" usually fails. The better approach is to negotiate for commitments and non-salary value — and to get them in writing.
"I'd like to understand the decision behind my increment. Was it driven by my performance, my role, or a company-wide budget constraint?"
The answer tells you which path to take.
| If they say... | Ask for... |
|---|---|
| "It's a company-wide freeze" | A written mid-year salary review (e.g. in six months), a one-time bonus, or a retention component |
| "Your rating was average" | Specific feedback, measurable goals and a review date to reassess |
| "There's no budget for your role" | A move to a higher-priority team or project, or a stretch role |
| "We can't change pay now" | A title or promotion timeline, paid certification or course, ESOPs/RSUs, more flexibility or extra leave |
Asking for a mid-year review:
"I understand the budget is tight this year. Given what I delivered — [two or three results] — could we agree to a formal salary review in [month], with clear goals I can work towards? I'd appreciate having that in writing."
Asking for growth instead of money:
"If a raise isn't possible now, I'd like to invest in skills the business needs. Could the company sponsor [certification/course] and let me take on [AI/automation/cloud] work on [project]?"
Raising the market gap (calmly, without threats):
"I've looked at the market for my role and experience, and I'm currently around [X]% below it. I'd like to stay and grow here — what would it take to close that gap over the next year?"
A word on counter-offers. If you resign and your employer suddenly matches an offer, ask yourself why it took a resignation. Counter-offers can work if the reasons you wanted to leave are also fixed; if only the money changes, many people end up leaving anyway.
Days 1–30: Get ready
Days 31–60: Get in front of hiring managers
Days 61–90: Negotiate and close
The bottom line: a zero-hike year is frustrating, but it's information. Find out why it happened, then act: negotiate for commitments if your company and role still have a future, or make a well-planned switch to a sector, company or skill set where pay is growing. In a market where raises are increasingly targeted, the people who move deliberately — not angrily — come out ahead. Start by building a sharper CV, free, on ResumeMinter.